If you need assistance, please call 352-480-5800

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

Thursday, August 20, 2020   /   by The Villages Home Search

What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?

Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. CoreLogic, in their latest Home Price Index said:



“The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first decrease in annual home prices in over 9 years.”



The forecast was surprising as it was strikingly different than any other projection by major analysts. Six of the other eight forecasts call for appreciation, and the two who project depreciation indicate it will be one percent or less.


Here is a graph showing all of the projections:What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | Simplifying The MarketThere’s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Last week mortgage applications to buy a home were 33% higher than they were at the same time last year. The available inventory of homes for sale is 31% lower than it was last year. Normally, these numbers should call for homes to continue to appreciate.


Bottom Line


Because of the uncertainty with the pandemic, any economic prediction is extremely difficult. However, looking at the limited supply of homes for sale and the tremendous demand for housing, it is difficult to disagree with the majority of analysts who are calling for price appreciation.




You might also enjoy reading...




#thevillagesmortgage #thevillagesfl #thevillagesflorida
Fidelity Home Group
352-480-5800
888-259-2257
NMLS ID 1834853
thevillages@fidelityhomegroup.com

Fidelity Home Group is a mortgage corporation and not in the business of selling real estate. The real estate listings are for informational purposes only. Real Estate Brokers make an effort to deliver accurate information, but buyers should independently verify any information on which they will rely in a transaction. The listing broker shall not be responsible for any typographical errors, misinformation, or misprints, and they shall be held totally harmless from any damages arising from reliance upon this data. This data is provided exclusively for consumers’ personal, non-commercial use. All rights reserved. Closed (sold) listings may have been listed and/or sold by a real estate firm other than the firm(s) featured on this website. Closed data is not available until the sale of the property is recorded in the MLS. Home sale data is not an appraisal, CMA, competitive or comparative market analysis, or home valuation of any property.

Last updated October 24, 2020 Copyright © 2020

Fidelity Home Group participates in Equal Housing Opportunity
Fidelity Home Group Privacy Policy
Fidelity Home Group NMLS consumer access Page

CINC is committed to facilitating the accessibility and usability of all of its websites for all our customers, including people with disabilities. We strive to meet the standards of the World Wide Web Consortium’s Web Content Accessibility Guidelines 2.0 Level AA (WCAG 2.0 AA). That said, to date the Federal Trade Commission, the Federal Communications Commission, and the Department of Justice have not provided clear guidance as to what constitutes full ADA compliance with respect to website accessibility for disabled individuals. Our efforts in this area are ongoing as technology advances and federal guidelines are established.

This site powered by CINC: www.cincpro.com